There have been many changes to legislation affecting property investors over the past 4½ years.
We have had:
• Healthy Homes Standards
• Loan-to-value ratio (LVR) changes
• Requirement for heat pumps
• Loss of claiming interest as an expense
How have property investors reacted and what has happened?
Before I go on, there is one thing I want to get off my chest first. For years, the Government has attempted to disadvantage property traders and/or renovators. Two points on that:
1. They have been trying to penalise traders (“speculators”) by bringing in capital gains tax or something similar. However, traders (at least the best and honest ones) pay tax like anyone else in the country. In fact they pay more! If a trader makes $60,000 on renovating a property (to bring it up to the new Government standards) and then sells the property, they must pay a third tax, GST, and then real estate costs; so about half of the profit. No capital gains tax is going to affect that; they already pay tax on profit, just like any industry in New Zealand.
2. Bringing the latest rule in mind, traders can still claim interest as an expense, just like every other business in New Zealand can. In fact, the only group of businesspeople who cannot are property investors – the ones who are providing a roof over the heads for about half the country. Why is this? Is this fair? The Government desperately need properties to house good New Zealanders. So why would they penalise the one group that can solve half of the housing crisis problem, and seemingly actively encourage them to get out of owning a rental? It just does not make any sense.
The average medium priced property is just over $800,000. To illustrate the effect of the new legislations, let’s assume an investor has borrowed $800K at 3% and has a tax rate of 33%. Once the new interest non-deductibility rule kicks in, the investor’s cash flow will reduce by $8,000 per year. If interest rates increase, this loss will get even bigger. This could easily make an investment that was generating positive cashflow into one that is cashflow negative, which for many investors will make properties untenable to own as investments. Additionally, it would likely cost the investor $5,000—$10,000 in the first year of ownership for insulation, heat pumps and anything else to get compliant with Healthy Homes Standards. I certainly believe tenants should have warm, dry homes to live in, but combined with the new interest non-deduction rules, it is becoming harder and harder to make rental properties work as an investment.
So, what now?
The loss of claiming interest as an expense is phased in over four years, so landlords will sell. In fact many already have, and many are going to. Many average New Zealanders wanting to improve their wealth by owning a rental property will find this strategy is no longer affordable for them. I recently spoke to a real estate agent in Tauranga who said he knows of some older people who owned a rental in town. Now they are selling their own home and moving into the rental, as they can no longer afford to have it as an investment property. Where do those tenants go?
What does all this mean?
As more and more rentals are taken out of the market, there are more and more homeless people. It is only going to get worse over the next four years. If the Government thinks there is a problem now with not enough rentals and motels for tenants, get the calculator out and push the multiplication button. That is how I see it anyway.
Yes, I agree some things were essential and had to happen, e.g. Healthy Homes. However, there were so many expenses in such a short period of time, it has crippled some property investors. Some have been forced to sell and cash up, instead of putting their money into another rental for another Kiwi family to live in. This would assist with the housing shortage, but the Government has taken away any cashflow they might have dreamed about.
I do not want to get into the Government, but although I’m not especially clever, even I can work out that if they sat down and looked at the flow-on situation for the end user (the average Kiwi that wants to rent), they would see they have made a tragic decision that is going to cost every New Zealander in increased taxes moving forward to house tenants.
We were already seeing a massive shortage of rentals, that are even harder to get now, especially the lower priced ones. What does that do? Simply, the rents go up due to supply and demand.
I am an advocate for new builds and the new rules have certainly encouraged investors to buy them. However, that does not help the first home buyer out there who just cannot afford a home, nor the people who simply want a place to rent.
A request from me to the Government: Please discuss these rules in public or with experts in the field before you implement them and make them mandatory!
Just letting you know we got this house!! Super uber excited! Just wanted to say that there is no way in hell I could have got this over the line without your detailed and comprehensive help, you have been absolutely amazing. I have absorbed everything you’ve taken the time to teach me about analysing properties for development potential. Really amazing…. thank you!!
- Name withheld on request, November 2020
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