GRA Blogs

Articles by Kris Pedersen

It's time to review your loans

AUTHOR: Kris Pedersen

POSTED: 29 July 2021

As little as a month ago, many economists were predicting that it would be mid to late 2022 before we see the Reserve Bank raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR). This situation has rapidly changed with the market now pricing in a 90% chance that the rate will increase at the next review date, which is 18 August 2021. If this happens it will be the first increase the market has seen since 2014.

Inflation and interest rates

Inflation has jumped to a much higher level than had been expected and is now the highest it has been for 10 years, with new housing building cost inflation the highest since 1987.

Banks have quickly moved with interest rate rises across the board. While the longer-term rates had been trending up courtesy of events happening overseas, and in particular the United States, the short-term rates had been expected to stay low. This hope has quickly vanished with the 1-year rate, which had been a favourite across the market, jumping on the back of the expected OCR increase.

The Reserve Bank has also signalled an end to the Large Scale Asset Purchase (basically money printing) programme, with this finishing on 23 July. They had been doing this as a strategy on the back of Covid to put downward pressure on interest rates, but realise now that they do not need the same level of stimulation with the economy being stronger than expected.

There are also further dark clouds on the horizon with the increased capital requirements for banks being imposed in July 2022. These are expected to result in interest rates being pushed up. This change was originally meant to be implemented July 2021, but has been held off because of the pandemic.

What should property investors do?

Savvy property investors who would like more leverage may want to look at non-bank lender Select Home Loans. They can lend above the 60% LVR threshold that banks are limited to on existing investment properties. At 70% LVR their current rate offering in the 2-5 year bracket on their prime product is roughly the same as what banks are offering.

With many more investors looking at ‘new build’ opportunities on the back of the change to interest deductibility, ANZ have also come to the party, copying ASB’s release of a product targeting this area and beating ASB with a floating rate offering of 1.68%. This rate will naturally move up if the OCR does increase next month as expected. However, this will still be a lot cheaper than standard floating rate offerings.

Another point to keep an eye on is what banks decide to do in regard to their test rates. These are the rates that banks use to determine a borrower’s maximum level of debt they can obtain. Naturally if they move these up, borrowing capacity decreases. Because of this risk, right now is the time to look at reviewing options, such as interest-only and other aspects of how mortgages are structured.

If you’d like to talk to Kris Pedersen about your loan structure or new borrowing, you can contact him here.

Request a Meeting

Kris Pedersen
Kris Pedersen Mortgages

kris@krispedersen.co.nz

© Gilligan Rowe & Associates LP

Did you like this article? Subscribe to our newsletter to receive tips, updates and useful information to help you protect your assets and grow your net worth. We're expert accountants providing expert advice to clients in NZ and around the world.

Disclaimer: This article is intended to provide only a summary of the issues associated with the topics covered. It does not purport to be comprehensive nor to provide specific advice. No person should act in reliance on any statement contained within this article without first obtaining specific professional advice. If you require any further information or advice on any matter covered within this article, please contact the author.

Comments

Testimonials

We moved our business accounting to GRA twelve months ago and have never looked back. Matthew Gilligan and his team have consistently provided us with honest straight forward advice and have proved themselves to be honorable, trustworthy and efficient in all matters to date. The point of difference for us is that GRA do not charge their clients for every question asked (like most other accountants) which allows for better communication and understanding of how to run a successful company. GRA have impeccable time management systems in place and their customer service is outstanding. I recommend them to any other business that wants good solid advice with the aim of business success, asset protection and opportunities for sound investments. - A Ellis – EC Flooring Contractors Limited

Seminars and workshops for property investors, business owners and anyone seeking to create and protect their wealth.

View all our upcoming events

Learn More

Investing in residential property?

Put this at the top of your reading list.

If you're investing in residential property, seeking to maximise your ability to succeed and minimise risk, then this is a 'must read'.

Matthew Gilligan provides a fresh look at residential property investment from an experienced investor’s viewpoint. Written in easy to understand language and including many case studies, Matthew explains the ins and outs of successful property investment.